Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 24.274744 28.094689 32.250625 37.098894 42.590101 48.606838 55.688702
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.655133 22.843943 29.055651 36.995830 46.827136 58.548275 73.523236
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 13.380487 18.946472 26.138877 36.016140 49.114107 65.758875 88.361533
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.863758 16.597992 24.496040 36.001408 52.130256 73.698786 104.431629
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.133370 14.923757 23.357572 36.286449 55.291823 81.824860 121.183155
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.220326 12.600519 20.874309 34.195013 54.679386 84.458191 130.318008
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.437949 11.880558 20.642126 35.336336 58.789257 94.030397 149.977625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.934851 11.522352 20.896338 37.202749 64.101669 105.714847 173.557311
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.036511 10.322842 19.588637 36.338227 64.935155 110.528586 186.920282
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.165695 9.020672 17.914305 34.619935 64.129839 112.592868 195.989592
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.982902 8.999328 18.505487 36.891396 70.216844 126.177417 224.416932
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.959905 9.289393 19.693831 40.336915 78.598706 144.093609 261.058305
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.535132 8.714552 19.229292 40.797380 81.948570 154.155076 285.974757
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.052258 7.937008 18.277167 40.249712 83.471258 161.301051 306.679045
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.589161 7.112328 17.104169 39.108328 83.737092 166.202823 323.778264
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.285247 6.602614 16.518948 39.075506 86.102573 175.030744 348.424908
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.046605 6.206444 16.122306 39.378823 89.135770 185.277521 376.292381
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.676826 5.389004 14.637528 37.127263 86.725505 185.000563 384.556823
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.561531 5.240187 14.709599 38.355585 91.670002 199.252016 421.172199
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.497258 5.224320 15.103662 40.363806 98.445862 217.550566 466.666117
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.295712 4.758321 14.293973 39.433679 98.717205 222.819787 487.019295
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.082904 4.205185 13.166863 37.584497 96.739801 223.318392 497.877497
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.064526 4.277934 13.736845 40.028840 104.769110 245.132124 553.015060